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IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE DEVALUATION ON AGRICULTURAL EXPORT IN NIGERIA

IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE DEVALUATION ON AGRICULTURAL EXPORT IN NIGERIA

ABSTRACT

          The promotion of agricultural export has been identified as an important factor that accelerates the development of a country. This paper presents an anlysis from the exchange rate devaluation parvey with specific attention to the period after the structural adjustment programme (Post SAP). Specifically by employing the ordinary least squares method comprising of Agricultural Exports as dependent variable and Exchange rate (ER), inflation Rate (IFR), Average Rainfall (ARF) and Labour supply in Agriculture (LSA) as explanatory variables. This research found out that over 95 percent of the systematic variation in Agricultural Export is being explained by the explanatory variables in the period of 1986-2008, the effect of the Exchange Rate Exchange rate (ER), Averag Exchange Rate Exchange rate (ER), Average Rainfall (ARF) and Labour supply in Agriculture (LSA) was significant and positively related to agricultural export while that of Inflation Rate (IFR) was insignificant and negatively related to agricultural exports. Generally the estimated result reveals that there is a significant linear relationship between the explanatory variables and agricultural exports. It is therefore, particularly recommended that the devaluation of exchange rate in Nigeria should be sustained and further efforts be made by the Nigerian policy makers and CBN to make a policy blueprint that will develop the agricultural sector. Taking into account, the nature of Nigerian agriculture and the prevailing economic situation in the country.

TABLE OF CONTENT

Title Page

Certification

Dedication

Acknowledgements

Abstract

Table of Contents

CHAPTER ONE

1.0     Introduction

1.1     Background to the Study

1.2     Statement of Problem

1.3     Objectives of the Study

1.4     Statement of Hypothesis

1.5     Significance of the Study

1.6     Scope of the Study

1.7     Organization of the Study

1.8     Delimitation of the Study


CHAPTER TWO

2.0     Literature Review

2.1     Conceptual Classification

2.2     Factors that Determine the Effectiveness of Classification

2.3     Various Stages of Classification in Nigeria

2.4     Theoretical Review (1986-2008)

2.5     Trends between Classification and Exports

2.6     Problems of Agricultural Development

2.7     Poor Tools and Farm Machines

2.8     Empirical Review

2.9     Summary of Review

CHAPTER THREE

  • Methodology 36

3.1     Method of Data Collection

3.2     Method of Data Analysis

3.3     Evaluation of Criteria

3.4     Estimation of Techniques

3.5     Signs and Magnitudes of Parameters

3.6     Model Specification

CHAPTER FOUR

4.0     Presentation and Analysis of Estimated Regression Result Obtained

4.1     Presentations of Regression Results

4.2     Analysis of Regression Result

4.3     Economic Apriori Criteria

4.4     Statistical Criteria (1st Order Test)

4.5     Policy Implications of Results

CHAPTER FIVE

5.0       Summary, Recommendations And Conclusion

5.1     Summary

5.2     Policy Recommendation

5.3     Conclusion

References

Appendix 1

Appendix 11

Appendix 111

TABLE OF CONTENT

Title Page

Certification

Dedication

Acknowledgements

Abstract

Table of Contents

CHAPTER ONE

1.0     Introduction

1.1     Background to the Study

1.2     Statement of Problem

1.3     Objectives of the Study

1.4     Statement of Hypothesis

1.5     Significance of the Study

1.6     Scope of the Study

1.7     Organization of the Study

1.8     Delimitation of the Study


CHAPTER TWO

2.0     Literature Review

2.1     Conceptual Classification

2.2     Factors that Determine the Effectiveness of Classification

2.3     Various Stages of Classification in Nigeria

2.4     Theoretical Review (1986-2008)

2.5     Trends between Classification and Exports

2.6     Problems of Agricultural Development

2.7     Poor Tools and Farm Machines

2.8     Empirical Review

2.9     Summary of Review

CHAPTER THREE

  • Methodology 36

3.1     Method of Data Collection

3.2     Method of Data Analysis

3.3     Evaluation of Criteria

3.4     Estimation of Techniques

3.5     Signs and Magnitudes of Parameters

3.6     Model Specification

CHAPTER FOUR

4.0     Presentation and Analysis of Estimated Regression Result Obtained

4.1     Presentations of Regression Results

4.2     Analysis of Regression Result

4.3     Economic Apriori Criteria

4.4     Statistical Criteria (1st Order Test)

4.5     Policy Implications of Results

CHAPTER FIVE

5.0       Summary, Recommendations And Conclusion

5.1     Summary

5.2     Policy Recommendation

5.3     Conclusion

References

Appendix 1

Appendix 11

Appendix 111

 

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Updated: February 14, 2016 — 10:25 am

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